h1techSlave
06-12 12:15 PM
One big missing piece in your analysis - Country quota.
As per your analysis, there are around 125K pending cases. If there is no spill over (that is the case this year and that will be the case for the coming years as per State dept.), then EB3-I or EB2-I gets only 2700 visas per year.
Now, please redo your math and you can easily see that the current retrogress might look like there is hardly any retrogression.
This is my thought process (also referred by Ron G):
July 2007 brought in approximately 500K 485 cases.
We do not know how many cases were pending as of June 2007.
Fiscal year 2007-2008 USCIS used over 140K EB VISA numbers (I think it was around 155K).
Fiscal year 2008-2009 USCIS will use atleast 140K EB VISA numbers
so, 500K - 300K = 200K.
Assuming USICS approval rate is 85%; 75K of 500K are denied.
200K - 75K = 125K EB cases pending from the July 2007 cases.
Additions: from all current categories - may be 25 K in 2 years?
So, 150 K plus whatever that was pending as of June 2007.
So next fiscal year, 2009 if USCIS uses the quota 140 K, most or all of the 2007 filings will be cleared. If not EB3 I, definitely EB2 I and C, EB3 ROW will be cleared.
Depending on new filings, EB3 I might retrogress but retrogression might come within 3-4 years instead of current 8 years.
I strongly believe, beginning Jan 2010, dates for EB2 (I and C) will move forward heaps and bounds followed by EB3 ROW.
As per your analysis, there are around 125K pending cases. If there is no spill over (that is the case this year and that will be the case for the coming years as per State dept.), then EB3-I or EB2-I gets only 2700 visas per year.
Now, please redo your math and you can easily see that the current retrogress might look like there is hardly any retrogression.
This is my thought process (also referred by Ron G):
July 2007 brought in approximately 500K 485 cases.
We do not know how many cases were pending as of June 2007.
Fiscal year 2007-2008 USCIS used over 140K EB VISA numbers (I think it was around 155K).
Fiscal year 2008-2009 USCIS will use atleast 140K EB VISA numbers
so, 500K - 300K = 200K.
Assuming USICS approval rate is 85%; 75K of 500K are denied.
200K - 75K = 125K EB cases pending from the July 2007 cases.
Additions: from all current categories - may be 25 K in 2 years?
So, 150 K plus whatever that was pending as of June 2007.
So next fiscal year, 2009 if USCIS uses the quota 140 K, most or all of the 2007 filings will be cleared. If not EB3 I, definitely EB2 I and C, EB3 ROW will be cleared.
Depending on new filings, EB3 I might retrogress but retrogression might come within 3-4 years instead of current 8 years.
I strongly believe, beginning Jan 2010, dates for EB2 (I and C) will move forward heaps and bounds followed by EB3 ROW.
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monkeyman
08-27 01:56 PM
EB3 / Family based / received at 8:32 AM
neel_gump
07-25 12:48 PM
USCIS press released an update of receipting times..
http://www.uscis.gov/files/pressrelease/ReceiptingTimes20Jul07.pdf
NSC might send 485 receipts by 8/1/2007
TSC might send 485 receipts by 10/26/2007
http://www.uscis.gov/files/pressrelease/ReceiptingTimes20Jul07.pdf
NSC might send 485 receipts by 8/1/2007
TSC might send 485 receipts by 10/26/2007
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sravani
05-14 10:28 AM
I would only say "Hang On", or move on if you can. A lot of people in same situations, never want to discuss issues openly.
Patience does help, and maybe all the good is stored for future.
yeah... sometimes trying to be diplomatic and patient is the only way out in this depressing immigration situation.
I also realized, we should never talk about these visa issues with co-workers. It will make them bully you even more.
Patience does help, and maybe all the good is stored for future.
yeah... sometimes trying to be diplomatic and patient is the only way out in this depressing immigration situation.
I also realized, we should never talk about these visa issues with co-workers. It will make them bully you even more.
more...
caydee
05-24 10:35 AM
Let us discuss all our views in Latest CIR bill discussion threadrather than opening a new thread. I am not forcing you but I feel that it would benefit all of us to be in one thread becuase every member can get the latest views and news.
My intention is not to offend you in any way, It is a suggestion..
Agreed. Wondering if the moderators can merge this tread with the CIR bill discussion thread.
My intention is not to offend you in any way, It is a suggestion..
Agreed. Wondering if the moderators can merge this tread with the CIR bill discussion thread.
praveenat11
10-25 03:00 PM
Hi,
I have sumbitted my I-140,I-485 on Oct10 2007 in the category of EB1.
Today my check is encashed.
can anyone say what r the next steps...?
I have sumbitted my I-140,I-485 on Oct10 2007 in the category of EB1.
Today my check is encashed.
can anyone say what r the next steps...?
more...
potatoeater
07-31 08:40 PM
My inside sources tell me that EB1-I is going to be scrapped, and all those waiting in this queue are to be declared "illegal aliens".
But cheer up EB1-I, immigration reforms are on the horizon, with big sops for illegals.
EB1- U (Always)
EB2- Sep 2010
EB3-Sep 2010
But cheer up EB1-I, immigration reforms are on the horizon, with big sops for illegals.
EB1- U (Always)
EB2- Sep 2010
EB3-Sep 2010
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rb_248
01-15 01:33 PM
The pattern of these killings is so strange that most of the people that got killed are from AP.
My friends from AP, Be careful. They are coming after you :)
My friends from AP, Be careful. They are coming after you :)
more...
srinivas_o
07-09 11:36 AM
I downloaded the 2004 file as you said and searched it, but could not find any information about my labor. Do you think the labor apps processed by backlog centers are in a separate file???
If you click on the link called "PERM" on the left hand side - there is an MDB file called 2004 (in a zip file). Try to download an Access reader and go for it.
If you click on the link called "PERM" on the left hand side - there is an MDB file called 2004 (in a zip file). Try to download an Access reader and go for it.
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casinoroyale
12-30 09:26 AM
Please check the map at the bottom of the article. My friend and I were joking yesterday if that actually happens, NJ should become part of India :D
more...
InTheMoment
07-11 11:16 AM
Guys the news is from Yahoo India website. The reporter is for sure homebred for the Indian Express newspaper and you also have to note Immigration is spelt as Emigration there. The reporter must have been an amateur who must have takes notes while on phone without bothering to verify the spelling!
Also note the spelling of Program is spelt as Programme in the article, which shows the roots of this article. Maybe we are blowing things out of proportion.
Just relax, drop it an move on !
Also note the spelling of Program is spelt as Programme in the article, which shows the roots of this article. Maybe we are blowing things out of proportion.
Just relax, drop it an move on !
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cnachu2
02-23 01:29 PM
The way i see it, they've asked for past emp letter with tax forms and some w2s.
None of those would indicate that you were on the bench.
The emp letter should basically just indicate your dates for employment - start/end date, designation, duties and perhaps salary. that's all.
Yes, they asked just employment letters, W2's and tax returns. Thank you.
None of those would indicate that you were on the bench.
The emp letter should basically just indicate your dates for employment - start/end date, designation, duties and perhaps salary. that's all.
Yes, they asked just employment letters, W2's and tax returns. Thank you.
more...
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gcdesirer
08-26 03:17 PM
Even if its multiplied by 100 we should be ok, if the USCIS does a good of not waisting visas by doing their best in the month of Sep. Say we have 6500 * 2 .25 (Family) = 15000people waiting from EB2 2004. Looking at the spillover numbers from last year, we might be lucky enough. Just trying to be optimistic for the next 35 days.
We received our 2nd biometric appointment notice for Sep 11th. Our Notice date is Sep 19th 2007. Just keeping my fingers crossed and hoping for something good. :)
=================================================
Quick set of related questions. Pardon my ignorance. Is this second biometric appointment a "must have"? how does it work? Myself and my husband have got had our first Fingerprint appointment long back. how does that part of the system work? When will the second one be due?
We received our 2nd biometric appointment notice for Sep 11th. Our Notice date is Sep 19th 2007. Just keeping my fingers crossed and hoping for something good. :)
=================================================
Quick set of related questions. Pardon my ignorance. Is this second biometric appointment a "must have"? how does it work? Myself and my husband have got had our first Fingerprint appointment long back. how does that part of the system work? When will the second one be due?
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snathan
04-02 02:15 PM
I am not sure abt Senator Grassley and others but someone in your home could answer your curiosity about my balls. lol...Take your shot man
You might need to check yourself if you have balls...before someone else have done with your family...you are not sure only about Senator Grassley or about your balls also. If so, make sure you dont have neighbour. otherwise things would go ugly for you...Take your shot now..
You might need to check yourself if you have balls...before someone else have done with your family...you are not sure only about Senator Grassley or about your balls also. If so, make sure you dont have neighbour. otherwise things would go ugly for you...Take your shot now..
more...
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Madhuri
03-22 10:30 AM
My FOIA request status says it's processed on 3/14/2011, can you please let us know how long does it take to get the CD after this?
Yes, I got a CD from USCIS with all my I-140. I requested for copy of I-140 approval notice corresponding to I-140 tracking number SRC.XXXXXXXXXXX. This is the same number I got from my employer for online tracking on USCIS website. It took over 4 months. I submitted this as soon as got approval on my I-140. If you dont have the tracking number, you may try to get your A# from employer or attorney. You can use the same reason that you are changing address or that you need it for visa stamping. I believe they ask for A# in visa interview form.
I have heard that few people got the tracking number using Infopass. Not sure how. I would suggest, that do not delay. Submit the FOIA form with whatever info you have. They might be able to pull your records based on the SSN# or I-94# etc. No harm in trying. I didnt had A#, so I left it blank.
Yes, I got a CD from USCIS with all my I-140. I requested for copy of I-140 approval notice corresponding to I-140 tracking number SRC.XXXXXXXXXXX. This is the same number I got from my employer for online tracking on USCIS website. It took over 4 months. I submitted this as soon as got approval on my I-140. If you dont have the tracking number, you may try to get your A# from employer or attorney. You can use the same reason that you are changing address or that you need it for visa stamping. I believe they ask for A# in visa interview form.
I have heard that few people got the tracking number using Infopass. Not sure how. I would suggest, that do not delay. Submit the FOIA form with whatever info you have. They might be able to pull your records based on the SSN# or I-94# etc. No harm in trying. I didnt had A#, so I left it blank.
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CADude
05-28 01:26 PM
I oppose the Senate immigration deal in current form.
Immigration Reform unfair to the legal high-skilled. Legal First
We are always told, �Break the law, and you will be in trouble�. But, the recent �Immigration Reform Grand bargain� proposes to send a message that is precisely the opposite.
We are being told that no undocumented immigrant will get ahead of those in backlog. While the backlog of Family-based petitions has been highly publicized, the petitions of individuals (engineers, scientists, doctors and other professionals) are being left in legal and bureaucratic limbo. About half-a-million highly qualified professionals and their families have put their faith in the legal immigration system and due process of the United States, while working to enhance the US economy. These people have pending petitions either with the Department of Labor, or with the CIS, the final adjudication of which will enable them to work with a US employer, with consequent ripple effect on the US economy.
In the old system, employment-based petitions were limited to 140,000 per year, but the proposed system, �in order to reduce backlog�, reduces them to 90,000 per year only! On the contrary, Family-based cases used to be limited to similar numbers, but now have been increased to 567,000 per year! In addition, close to100,000 of these applicants with pending petitions are being asked to start from scratch in the new system. In effect, it is similar to changing the �rules� or rather, the �Laws� after the fact! Innocent high-skilled prospective immigrants are being penalized due to bureaucratic delay in the DOL.
Highly skilled doctors, scientists, engineers, and computer professionals have been stuck in backlogs since the last 3-4 years. They had hoped to get relief from the �Immigration Reform�, but have been let down badly. They are being forced to renew their H-1Bs yearly now, while the old system allowed 3-yr incremental renewals while their Green Card petition was pending. Seems like a fitting reward for following the Laws, isn�t it?
Per washintonpost report, USCIS on purpose delays the process and keep backlog to earn the extension and renewal fee as 20% of their budget. THIS IS CALLED SCAM.
Your attention and help requested on the matter.
Immigration Reform unfair to the legal high-skilled. Legal First
We are always told, �Break the law, and you will be in trouble�. But, the recent �Immigration Reform Grand bargain� proposes to send a message that is precisely the opposite.
We are being told that no undocumented immigrant will get ahead of those in backlog. While the backlog of Family-based petitions has been highly publicized, the petitions of individuals (engineers, scientists, doctors and other professionals) are being left in legal and bureaucratic limbo. About half-a-million highly qualified professionals and their families have put their faith in the legal immigration system and due process of the United States, while working to enhance the US economy. These people have pending petitions either with the Department of Labor, or with the CIS, the final adjudication of which will enable them to work with a US employer, with consequent ripple effect on the US economy.
In the old system, employment-based petitions were limited to 140,000 per year, but the proposed system, �in order to reduce backlog�, reduces them to 90,000 per year only! On the contrary, Family-based cases used to be limited to similar numbers, but now have been increased to 567,000 per year! In addition, close to100,000 of these applicants with pending petitions are being asked to start from scratch in the new system. In effect, it is similar to changing the �rules� or rather, the �Laws� after the fact! Innocent high-skilled prospective immigrants are being penalized due to bureaucratic delay in the DOL.
Highly skilled doctors, scientists, engineers, and computer professionals have been stuck in backlogs since the last 3-4 years. They had hoped to get relief from the �Immigration Reform�, but have been let down badly. They are being forced to renew their H-1Bs yearly now, while the old system allowed 3-yr incremental renewals while their Green Card petition was pending. Seems like a fitting reward for following the Laws, isn�t it?
Per washintonpost report, USCIS on purpose delays the process and keep backlog to earn the extension and renewal fee as 20% of their budget. THIS IS CALLED SCAM.
Your attention and help requested on the matter.
more...
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rlavari
02-21 09:31 PM
Public announcement
Immigrationvoice would like to reach out to its community to find out if they are facing any problem with AC21 related issues or had faced any such issue in the past. If you had received a denial of your application for example not having the same designation/ different salary/different location etc... please contact and we would like to assist. This would also help us try solve the larger issue of restrictions on applicants during their greencard journey where they are bound with employers, salary, designation, narrow occupation field etc.
Please contact us at info at immigrationvoice.org
Do post this information on other forums so that we can help out others in need on this issue.
i send email as requested, also my application has been pending for more then 900 days with out any update back on forth in stage say interview never get letter NOID i dont understand what is going on with USCIS
Immigrationvoice would like to reach out to its community to find out if they are facing any problem with AC21 related issues or had faced any such issue in the past. If you had received a denial of your application for example not having the same designation/ different salary/different location etc... please contact and we would like to assist. This would also help us try solve the larger issue of restrictions on applicants during their greencard journey where they are bound with employers, salary, designation, narrow occupation field etc.
Please contact us at info at immigrationvoice.org
Do post this information on other forums so that we can help out others in need on this issue.
i send email as requested, also my application has been pending for more then 900 days with out any update back on forth in stage say interview never get letter NOID i dont understand what is going on with USCIS
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aadimanav
08-15 06:28 PM
* bump *
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docwa
08-04 05:40 PM
If the suspense is killing anyone, like it was to me; its easy to call the USCIS #, and ask the cust service person if the application has been pre-adjudicated. He/She will ask for SRC/LIN # again, and tell you yes/No and date of pre-adjudication.
If the first officer does not help, call another, and the next one will.
If the first officer does not help, call another, and the next one will.
deecha
08-27 12:18 PM
In Michigan they don't even look at your visa to renew your license.
I got my license renewed for another 4 years by mail, in Michigan. No questions asked. Good till 2011. Go Michigan ... :D
I got my license renewed for another 4 years by mail, in Michigan. No questions asked. Good till 2011. Go Michigan ... :D
ItIsNotFunny
11-06 01:16 PM
EB2, Aug 2002 is not current? It is at 01 Jun 2003. See the Nov visa bulletin below:
http://travel.state.gov/visa/frvi/bulletin/bulletin_4371.html
Got it now!
Your signature is wrong... Gave me wrong impression. Anyways, heartly congratulations for getting out of this mess.
http://travel.state.gov/visa/frvi/bulletin/bulletin_4371.html
Got it now!
Your signature is wrong... Gave me wrong impression. Anyways, heartly congratulations for getting out of this mess.
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